President Kibaki Nine Points Down in Most Recent Poll
September 29, 2007
September 28: In the most recent poll, the Orange Democratic Movement’s (ODM) candidate, Raila Odinga, leads incumbent President Kibaki by nine points. 47% of respondents said they would vote for Odinga, while only 38% would vote for President Kibaki. The third candidate, Kalonzo Musyoka of the ODM-Kenya party, had only 8% of respondents’ votes. Odinga is supported in both urban and rural areas. Since March, Odinga’s popularity has been steadily rising while President Kibaki’s has been falling, from 51% in March to 5% in July and now to 38%. Former President Moi, who has a very high approval rating, is supporting President Kibaki, and many people believe that his support will cause President Kibaki to win the election. Like its candidate, ODM is the favored party among voters; President Kibaki’s new party, PNU, is supported by only 20%.
The poll was conducted by Steadman Group’s Managing Director George Waititu. It was conducted in all of Kenya’s 53 districts from September 21-25. However, there isn’t uniform awareness all around Kenya – 3% of respondents did not know that President Kibaki was a candidate, compared to 6.25% for Odinga and 10% for Musyoka.
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